Temat: Markov process - Prolib Integro

Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:: Safety and risk evaluation of Stena Baltica ferry in variable operation conditions
Autorzy:: Kołowrocki, K.
Soszyńska, J.
Tematy:: safety function
operation process
semi-markov process; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069680.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: Basic safety structures of multi-state systems of components with degrading safety states related to their variable operation conditions are defined. For these systems the conditional and unconditional multi-state safety functions are determined. A semi-markov process for the considered systems operation modelling is applied. Further, the paper offers an approach to the solution of a practically important problem of linking the multi-state systems safety models and the systems operation processes models. Theoretical definitions and results are illustrated by the example of their application in the safety and risk evaluation of the Stena Baltica ferry operating at the Baltic Sea. The ferry transportation system has been considered in varying in time operation conditions. The system safety structure and its components safety functions were changing in variable operation conditions.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Monte Carlo approach to identification of maritime ferry operation process
Autorzy:: Otremba, Z.
Soszyńska, J.
Targowski, W.
Tematy:: operation process
semi-Markov process
complex systems
Monte Carlo simulation; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069652.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: The paper is concerned with the identification of operation processes of complex technical systems. The convenient tools suggested for analyzing these complex technical systems operation processes are semi-markov modeling and Monte Carlo simulation. The paper describes the proposed approach as well as the possibility of its practical application to identification of the operation process of a maritime ferry.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:: A stochastic model of changes in the operational states of means of transport
Autorzy:: Landowski, B.
Perczyński, D.
Tematy:: homogeneous Markov process
operation process
operational state
transport means; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/949491.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: In the article, application of a Markov process for modelling the process of transport means operational state changes whose duration times can be estimated by Erlang distribution is presented. The research object is a system of city bus transport operation, used in a selected agglomeration. A homogenous Markov process was assumed a mathematical model of the process of transport means operation. Transformation of a stochastic process, for which distributions of random variables denoting duration times of the states are Erlang distributions, into a stochastic process characterized by exponential distribution of the state duration times, was performed at the costs of the state space extension. The use of a homogeneous Markov process for mathematical modelling of the operation process was dictated by the fact that the process reflects adequately, from the point of view of the research goal, the real operation process. In order to illustrate the process, a hypothetical, simplified calculation example was provided. Reliability of technical objects needs to be maintained at appropriate level, which is the responsibility of the repair and maintenance subsystem ensuring. This subsystem consists of two subsystems. The main tasks of the mobile emergency teams include providing vehicles, that is, buses that are outside the depot with the serviceability state as quickly as possible or hauling damaged buses to technical service stations.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:: Semi-Markov model of quality state changes of a selected transport system
Autorzy:: Landowski, B.
Muślewski, Ł.
Knopik, L.
Bojar, P.
Tematy:: transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/241811.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: The study deals with the problems connected with evaluation and analysis of transport systems operational quality. The research object is a real, sociotechnical system (of the type H-M-E) whose functional quality is affected by: operators, equipment and technical state of he operated vehicles and the environmental impact. A scheme of an assessment model was built on the basis of a developed concept of a system operational quality and a random process was defined to be used for the analysis. The assessment process involves investigating the variability degree of properties included in the resultant model in a given time and determining whether and to what degree the obtained values meet the requirements of the system appropriate operational quality. On the basis of the above assumptions and in result of experimental tests, four qualitative states of a transport system functioning, which represent intervals of values of the obtained grades in given time moments, were distinguished. The study presents a model of system operation qualitative state changes developed with the use of Markov chain inserted into a certain semi-Markov process. A graph and a matrix for probability of transition between the states were created and boundary distributions of the process were determined on the basis of experimentally obtained data. A system of equations was determined for the distinguished Markov chain, on the basis of which a mathematical model for assessment and control of operational quality of selected types of transport systems will be built.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 5.

Tytuł:: Analysis of operation efficiency of selected transport systems
Autorzy:: Muślewski, Ł.
Lewalski, M.
Aleksandrowicz, P.
Landowski, B.
Tematy:: transport system
efficiency
operation process
maintenance process
semi-Markov process
simulation tests; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/245072.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: This study deals with the problems connected with evaluation of technical systems efficiency of particular transport systems. The main goal of such a system operation is its effective functioning, through rational control of its particular activities and subsequent processes. A literature analysis of the definition of the efficiency term has been made. A real transport system has been accepted to be the research object. The system belongs to the group of sociotechnical systems in which evaluation of its operation efficiency depends on performance of operators, transport means and the impact of environmental factors. Criteria and methods of operation efficiency evaluation have been determined in this study as well as assessment indexes for transport systems. It has been shown that evaluation of a repair efficiency has a large influence on the efficiency of the whole system operation, especially the influence of secondary failure repairs, on the values of particular efficiency indexes. A semi-markov model of operation and maintenance of transport means used in the research object has been developed. This model provides the basis for evaluation of the influence of the processes involved in preparing transport means for service on the system operation efficiency. Moreover, the research also describes how to verify the developed model and present its simulation tests. The study is summarized with conclusions formulated based on the evaluation of the influence of the operation and maintenance processes on the investigated transport system operation efficiency.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 6.

Tytuł:: A Model of Ship Propulsion Systems Operating Process
Model procesu eksploatacji układu napędowego statku
Autorzy:: Girtler, J.
Tematy:: proces eksploatacji
proces semimarkowski
układ napędowy statku
EXPLO-SHIP 2004
operation process
semi-Markov process
ship propulsion system; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Akademia Morska w Szczecinie. Wydawnictwo AMSz
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/360243.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: The paper contains a formal description of ship propulsion systems operation process. The model of the process is presented in the form of two-dimensional stochastic process of which coordinates are semi-Markov processes of the final states set. The former process describes the process of changes in technical states of ship propulsion systems, the latter - the process of changes in their operating states. A monovariate model of ship propulsion systems operation process has also been proposed.
Podano opis formalny procesu eksploatacji układów napędowych statków. Model tego procesu przedstawiono w formie dwuwymiarowego procesu, którego współrzędnymi są procesy semi-Markowa o skończonych zbiorach stanów. Jeden z tych procesów jest procesem zmian stanów technicznych układów napędowych a drugi - procesem zmian ich stanów eksploatacyjnych. Zaproponowano także jednowymiarowy model procesu eksploatacji układów napędowych statków.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 7.

Tytuł:: Example of applying markov decision process o model vehicle maintenance process
Autorzy:: Landowski, B.
Tematy:: transport system
operation process
Markov decision process
urban transportation
state of object; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/243975.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: The subject of this paper are selected issues connected with modelling, prognosis and control of the process of operation and maintenance of a certain category of technical objects. The research object is a system of transport means operation. Assumptions for building a model of the operation process state changes of objects used in a complex system of operation and maintenance have been presented. The operation process model was built on the basis of an analysis of the space of states and events concerning technical objects, which are used in the analysed real transportation system. Source data necessary to make assumptions for the model development and its initial verification, has been obtained by means of the passive experiment method from a real system of transport means operation. An example of Markov decision process use for modelling and analysis of a public city transportation system operation process has been presented. Determination of values of indices characterizing the analysed process has been carried out basing on computer simulation of Markov decision process, being a mathematical model of technical objects operation process. A computing model has illustrated the entire study. Values of the model parameters have been estimated basing on the results of preliminary tests conducted in a real system of transport means operation. The model presented in this work has been built in such a way that it can be used for a wide category of problems connected with technical objects operation.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 8.

Tytuł:: Method for assessment of risks connected with technical object functioning on the basis of Markov model of operation process
Autorzy:: Woropay, M.
Migawa, K.
Bojar, P.
Szubartowski, M.
Tematy:: transport system
operation process
Markov model
risk; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247063.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: In the article, a method for assessment of risks connected with a technical object functioning has been studied, in a selected operating system. An urban system of bus transportation, in a selected urban complex, has been chosen as the research object. Functioning of each technical object operating system, including transportation systems, is dependent on its possibility to perform properly the assigned transport task. One of the methods for assessment of the transportation system ability to accomplish the assigned transport task in a proper way is determination of the transport means operation risk. The presented approach involves determination of indexes defining the risks connected with functioning of one technical object (transport means) in an executive subsystem. Indexes of the risk connected with functioning of a single technical object have been determined on the basis of a mathematical model of the operation process, in the studied transportation system. On the basis of the identification of the authentic transport system and the means of transport operation process carried out in it, crucial operational states were designed as well as the possibilities of transferring between the particular states. Based on that, an event-centered model of the use of the means of transport was built, followed by a mathematical model of that process. A Mathematical model of the operation process has been developed with acceptance of an assumption that the process model is to be represented by a homogeneous Markov model X(t). In this paper, the transport means operation risk is determined as a product of probability (or sum of probabilities) of its being in an undesirable state (states) of the Markov model of transport means operation process and the size of the damage in effect of being in the state (states). The size of the suffered damage is measured by a product of time and unit cost whose quantities are connected with being in the operation process undesirable state or states. Assessment of risk connected with technical objects operation and maintenance can be the point of reference to formulate design requirements concerning durability and reliability of the operated objects (transport means) as well as assumptions concerning design or modernization of the technical means necessary for assurance of the vehicle availability in a given transport system.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 9.

Tytuł:: Method for assessment of transport means failures repairs
Autorzy:: Muślewski, Ł.
Woropay, M.
Neubauer, A.
Szubartowski, M.
Tematy:: transport system
operation process
semi-Markov model
efficiency; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/246101.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: An analysis of experimental tests and a literature survey of the issue revealed that the problems connected with assessment of costs and effectiveness of transport means repairs has a significant influence on their operation efficiency. Operating factors affecting the elements of technical objects cause negative changes in their features resulting in failures. The failures are referred to as events which significantly impair the vehicle operation efficiency, safety and reliability. On the basis of experimental tests concerning times of failures occurrence, it was found that the set of failures can be divided into subsets of primary and secondary failures. The tests results revealed that the most frequent cause of secondary failures occurrence was improperly performed primary repairs. Primary failures are not related to each other and they appear randomly. However, secondary failures are related to each other as their occurrence is conditioned by the primary failure and results from an inappropriate performance of the successive secondary failure. Basing on an analysis of the author 's own tests results, it was established that failures of transport means used in real transport systems are the effect of impact of various forcing factors. Some failures result from the natural wear of machine elements, whereas, other failures can be caused by inappropriate repair of the previous damage. Thus, there occur the so called secondary failures in a short period of time. In connection with this, high efficiency of the repair performance is of primary importance as it largely affects efficiency of transport tasks accomplishment. In this article, there has been discussed a method developed for assessment of repair costs connected with elimination of secondary failures and its influence on the studied transport system operation efficiency. Familiarity with available technologies for repairs of primary failures as well as with costs of work and costs connected with technical equipment of the repair stations enables specification of the lowest costs necessary for reduction of the number of secondary failures and the average time of their repairs.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

Artykuł

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 10.

Tytuł:: Availability of a technical object determined in a finite time interval
Autorzy:: Woropay, M.
Migawa, K.
Bojar, P.
Szubartowski, M.
Tematy:: transport system
operation process
semi-Markov model
availability; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/247070.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: In the article, a method for determination of the technical object availability, GO (r) in a finite time interval x, defined by the time of the transport task duration, has been discussed. All of the study has been presented on the example of a selected system of technical object operation - a system of transport means operation, in a big urban complex (more than 400 thousand inhabitants). Direct performance of the transport tasks in the analyzed system is the responsibility of an executive system consisting of elementary subsystems of the type operator- transport means. Availability of transport means elementary subsystems is crucial for efficient accomplishment of transport tasks. The presented method involves determination of the technical object availability, on the basis of a mathematical model of the operation process which takes place in the studied system, taking into consideration the technical object reliability characteristics. For this purpose, significant states of the transport means operation have been determined and they have been classified in terms of the availability criterion. Basing on this, an event and mathematical models of transport means operation process have been developed, with the semi Markov homogenous model serving as a mathematical model of the studied operation process. Also, values of the analyzed characteristics have been determined.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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