Temat: GDP growth - Prolib Integro

Skocz do pozycji: 1.

Tytuł:: Nakłady na działalność badawczo-rozwojową a PKB w krajach Unii Europejskiej
R&D Expenditure and GDP in EU Countries
Autorzy:: Dworak, Edyta
Grzelak, Maria M.
Tematy:: innovation
innovativeness
R&D expenditure
GDP growth; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie. Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/575464.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: The changes that have taken place in the global economy in recent years have testified to a transformation of an industrial economy into a knowledge-based economy, using technological and innovative potential. This transformation has highlighted the competitive advantages of countries and regions specializing in the production of high-tech products. Innovativeness is considered to be one of the most important factors determining the rate and quality of economic growth. Consequently, highly developed countries are conducting research to seek new sources of innovativeness and methods for creating innovative potential. The key determinants of the innovativeness of an economy are expenditure on research and development and the results of R&D efforts embodied in the form of innovations. The article aims to check a theory by Norwegian economist Jan Fagerberg that the technological potential of an economy, expressed as a relation of R&D expenditure to GDP or as a number of patents per capita, determines positively the rate of GDP growth. In the article, the authors analyze the influence of R&D expenditure on GDP per capita in EU countries in 1999-2008. Panel model estimation methods are used in the research. The results of the analysis show that R&D expenditure determines GDP per capita in the studied countries, the authors conclude.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 2.

Tytuł:: Latent factor growth models for forecasting Polish GDP growth, inflation and unemployment using survey data
Autorzy:: Białowolski, Piotr
Tematy:: latent factor growth modelling
forecasting
GDP growth
inflation
unemployment; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/500358.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: In this paper a novel application of latent factor growth models is applied to responses to the manufacturing industry tendency survey conducted by the Research Institute for Economic Development, Warsaw School of Economics. An approach based on a common factor was assumed to explain variation in time response to specific questions drawn from the survey questionnaire. It was demonstrated that responses to questions relating to general economic situation in Poland, inflation and employment were explained by a latent growth factor, which was confirmed by RMSEA. Using cross-correlation and an ARIMAX model, it was shown that slopes obtained from latent factor growth models could be applied to forecasting or at least nowcasting of GDP growth and unemployment rate. Survey data of the type described clearly offer potential for refinement of economic projections and it is hoped that this work might stimulate further discussion of the methodology based on latent factor growth modeling for forecasting main macroeconomic time series.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 3.

Tytuł:: High-technology exports and economic growth: panel data analysis for selected OECD countriesHigh-technology exports and economic growth: panel data analysis for selected OECD countries
Autorzy:: Kabaklarli, Esra
Duran, Mahmut Sami
Üçler, Yasemin Telli
Tematy:: High technology export
GDP growth
FDI
Panel cointegration; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Wyższa Szkoła Biznesu w Dąbrowie Górniczej
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/499412.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: This paper uses a panel cointegration model to analyse the long-term relationship between high-technology exports and economic growth in selected OECD countries in the period from 1989 to 2015. We used high-technology exports (current US$) as the dependent variable and the GDP growth rate, FDI (foreign direct investment), application of patents by residents, and gross capital formation % of GDP as explanatory variables. The export structure of countries is moving increasingly towards technology-intensive products such as ICT (information and communications technology), aerospace, computing and office equipment, electronics, chemical products, pharmaceuticals, and electrical machinery. The export structure has played an important role in the economic growth theories of many countries since the 1960s, as export growth has been associated with faster productivity and GDP growth. We aimed to find out the relationship between high-technology exports and the explanatory variables which we listed for 14 selected OECD countries (Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Israel, Korea, the Netherlands, Norway, Switzerland, Sweden, Turkey, the UK, and the USA). According to our empirical results, there is a long-term relationship between high-technology exports and economic growth in selected OECD countries. The empirical results show that an improvement in patent applications and foreign direct investment play a decisive role in upgrading selected OECD countries’ high-tech exports, while growth rate and investment play a negative role in enhancing these countries’ high-tech exports.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 4.

Tytuł:: Gospodarczy wymiar integracji z Unią Europejską – 10 lat członkostwa Polski w UE
Economic Dimension of the Integration with the European Union – Ten Years of Poland’s Membership in the EU
Autorzy:: Wieczorek, Paweł
Tematy:: Poland’s accession to the EU
GDP growth; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Najwyższa Izba Kontroli
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/417021.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: It is sometimes difficult to estimate the impact of Poland’s accession to the EU on individual aspects of the economy’s functioning in the micro- and macroeconomic scale. Undoubtedly though, the membership in the EU and related adjustments in the political, legal and economic spheres have created a favourable climate for activating the internal potential of the Polish economy and business circles, which has resulted in a tangible progress in the process of Poland’s catching up with better developed EU states. In the years 2003–2013, the cumulated GDP growth in Poland stood at 44.5 percent, which made one of the best results among the new EU Member States from Central and Eastern Europe. The article focuses on microeconomic issues and contributes to the attempts to define Poland’s achievements in this area since 2004, as well as its lost opportunities to strengthen the economy’s competitiveness and basis for long-term development.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 5.

Tytuł:: Cointegration between capital flows and GDP in the Visegrad Countries. Implications for the post-pandemic era
Autorzy:: Sawicki, Janusz
Wydawca:: WSB in Poznań University Press
Cytata wydawnicza:: Sawicki, J. (2022). Cointegration Between Capital Flows and GDP in the Visegrád Countries.Implications for the Post Pandemic Era. In W.Nowiński, K. Starzyk, & J. Rymarczyk (Eds.), Covid-19: Implications for the economy. (pp. 175-199), WSB in Poznań University Press.
Opis:: This chapter verifies presence of long-term co-integration between net capital inflows and GDP of the Visegrád Group countries (Czechia, Hunagary, Poland and Slovakia). Its aim is to investigate whether the GDP of the Visegrád (V4) countries and capital flows between the V4 and developed countries (in particular the European Monetary union) were integrated in such a way that they did not diverge from some equilibrium in the long term. The existence and strength of these relationships may be important for determining conditions for GDP growth in the post-pandemic era. Using the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARLD) the level of cointegration between push factors (current account and banks’ net cross-border positions) and the net capital flows of the Visegrád countries is established. Furthermore, taking push factors as fixed regressors, and applying the ARLD model, the cointegration level between net capital flows and GDP, for the different time periods, is estimated for each of the V4 economies. The current account of the EMU was identified as a push factor for net capital flows in Czechia, Poland and Slovakia. Bank net cross-border positions of the EMU turned out to be push factors in Poland and bank net cross-border positions of the developed countries were statistically significant as push factors in Hungary and Slovakia. Using the ARLD model, cointegrations of current account and bank net cross-border positions with GDP were found in each of the V4 countries in the whole period 1995–2019. The strength of these cointegrations was the greatest in the last ten year i.e., in the period 2009–2019. No cointegration was found when calculated for 1995–2008. The analysis of data for the years 1995–2019 is extended by presenting recent changes of net capital inflows in the EMU and the V4 countries. The dynamics of the changes during the time of the pandemic (2020–2022) is discussed against the background of the results of cointegration. From the perspective of the past relationships between net capital flows and GDP in the V4 countries, changes in net capital flows observed in 2020 and later indicate potential threats to the recovery of GDP growth after the shocks caused by the pandemic and the war in Ukraine. If these shocks do not change the long-lasting cointegration between net capital flows and GDP then sudden and substantial changes of net capital flows in the V4 countries should be treated as an impediment to the recovery of sustainable GDP growth. Presumably, a corrected policy mix must therefore be adopted in order to avoid creating conditions for stagflation.
Dostawca treści:: Repozytorium Centrum Otwartej Nauki

Inne

na półce

Skocz do pozycji: 6.

Tytuł:: To the Abyss and Beyond
Autorzy:: Rusek, Antonin
Tematy:: Life Cycle Hypothesis
GDP growth
VAR models
conditional forecasts; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Łódzki. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/659703.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: Abstract. Life cycle hypothesis and Solow neo-classical growth concepts are used to construct and estimate VAR models of USA’s GDP dynamics. Conditional forecasts are then made for those two variables for the next two years, using different assumptions regarding the future dynamics of the household’s net worth. Results show that under all assumptions the US GDP growth GDP remains sluggish. The historical peak GDP level (achieved in Q2 from 2008) is not achieved by the Ql of 2011.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 7.

Tytuł:: GDP growth as a bank loan quality determinant
Autorzy:: Rachuba, Joanna
Tematy:: asset quality
GDP growth
macroeconomic cycle
non-performing loans; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2047044.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: Past financial crises and recessions have revealed the importance of the economy’s condition for the loan quality. Macroeconomic determinants of the non-performing loans have been attracting considerable attention in recent years. The aim of this paper is to organize and summarize studies examining the role of GDP growth and its impact on bank loan quality. This approach reveals the research problem which is to specify if there exists a statistically significant relationship between economic growth and the level of non-performing loans. It is equally important to determine the direction of this link. By appealing to common knowledge, the research hypothesis states that an increase in economic activity results in improving loan quality. To verify the hypothesis, the analysis of the relevant literature and the methods of verbal as well as tabular description have been applied. Empirical results on the link between the macroeconomic environment and the level of non-performing loans appear to be quite conclusive. It has been found that an economic expansion generally improves the loan quality. This broadly proven relationship is in line with many studies which confirm the borrowers’ increased willingness to repay debts in a favourable economic environment. Far less frequently, the intensified macroeconomic activity leads to future bank losses. Additionally, some studies do not provide any statistically significant effect of GDP growth on the loan quality.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 8.

Tytuł:: Forecasting Economic, Social and Environmental Growth in the Sanitary and Service Sector Based on Thailand’s Sustainable Development Policy
Autorzy:: Sutthichaimethee, P.
Tematy:: sustainable development
population growth
GDP growth
income per capita
greenhouse gas; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Polskie Towarzystwo Inżynierii Ekologicznej
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/125346.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: The purpose of this study is to forecast the long run implementation of Thailand’s sustainable development policy in three main aspects, including economic, social and environmental aspect for the the sanitary and service sectors from 2016 until 2045. According to the national data for the years 2000-2015, based on the ARIMAX model, it has been found that Thai economy system is potentially changed and growing rapidly by 25.76%, the population has grown by 7.15%, and the Greenhouse gas emissions will gradually increase by 49.65%, in the year 2045. However, based on the analysis above, if Thailand fails to run the afore-mentioned policy properly, it will be difficult to successfully implement sustainable development, because the increased emission is moving in the same direction with economy and social aspect of Thailand.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 9.

Tytuł:: US Public Debt – Whether the Debt is Getting Out of Control?
Dług publiczny USA – czy dług wymyka się spod kontroli?
Autorzy:: Bojańczyk, Mirosław
Tematy:: public debt
GDP growth
Wagner’s law
dług publiczny
wzrost PKB
prawo Wagnera; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Akademia Finansów i Biznesu Vistula
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/57916657.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: Public debt has been growing rapidly in many countries in recent years. This is possible, among others: thanks to the rapid development of financial markets. Rapidly developing financial institutions and new financial instruments have made it much easier to finance public debt. The key question here is whether the debt in many countries is not too high or whether it has gotten out of control. According to Wagner’s law, nothing bad happens in the economy when the debt increases in proportion to the GDP growth rate of a given country. The analyzes conducted in the article showed that in the USA in the years 1990–2022 the public debt increased much faster than the GDP growth. What’s worse, it grew quickly even in years when GDP was falling. The very high level of debt poses an increasing threat to the stability of the global economy. In conditions of high inflation, the cost of servicing public debt increases rapidly. The US has been heavily indebted in recent years, but the cost of financing its debt was relatively low due to having an international currency. It won’t be so good in other countries.
W ostatnich latach w wielu krajach szybko rośnie dług publiczny. Jest to możliwe m.in. dzięki rozwojowi rynków finansowych. Szybko rozwijające się instytucje finansowe i nowe instrumenty finansowe bardzo ułatwiły finansowanie długu publicznego. Pojawia się tu kluczowe pytanie, czy ten dług w wielu krajach nie jest zbyt wysoki, czy nie wymknął się spod kontroli. Zgodnie z prawem Wagnera, w gospodarce nie dzieje się nic złego, gdy ten dług rośnie proporcjonalnie do tempa wzrostu PKB danego kraju. Przeprowadzone w artykule analizy wykazały, że w USA w latach 1990–2022 dług publiczny wrastał znacznie szybciej niż rosło PKB. Co gorsza, szybko on rósł nawet w latach, gdy PKB spadało. Bardzo wysoki poziom zadłużenia stanowi coraz większe zagrożenie dla stabilności gospodarki światowej. W warunkach wysokiej inflacji szybko rośnie koszt obsługi długu publicznego. USA bardzo mocno zadłużały się w ostatnich latach, ale koszt finansowania ich długu, ze względu na posiadanie międzynarodowej waluty był względnie niski. W innych krajach tak dobrze już nie będzie.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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Skocz do pozycji: 10.

Tytuł:: Czy wolność gospodarcza wpływa na rozwój społeczny?
Autorzy:: Liszatyński, Damian
Tematy:: Social development
HDI
GDP growth
economic freedom
public services
education
life expectancy; Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:: Instytut Studiów Międzynarodowych i Edukacji Humanum
Powiązania:: https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2148233.pdf Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:: Social development causes a comprehensive increase in the quality of human capital. It is necessary for the society to achieve a higher civilization level. A sufficient level of national income is needed to achieve it, which will ensure financing of widely available public services. This income can be generated by increasing economic freedom, which affects faster GDP growth. Current researches show that economic freedom also have a positive impact on other indicators of social development, such as education and life expectancy. Higher incomes, generated by a more liberal economy, leads to higher budget income, and thus also to the improvement of the quality of public services.
Dostawca treści:: Biblioteka Nauki

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