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Wyszukujesz frazę "Granger causality" wg kryterium: Temat


Tytuł:
Co-movements of NAFTA stock markets: Granger‑causality analysis
Autorzy:
Folfas, Paweł
Tematy:
NAFTA, stock markets, Granger-causality
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Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/557673.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The paper scrutinizes the causal relationship between performance of American, Canadian and Mexican stock markets. It is aimed at answering the question as to whether there is a one way or two way causal link between the performance of stock markets (or possibly no causality at all) in the case of NAFTA members during 1992–1993 (pre-NAFTA period) and 1994–2013 (NAFTA in force). The study finds bivariate Granger causality for American and Canadian indexes in the periods: 1980–1988 and 1994–2013. Additionally the American index Granger-caused Mexican index during all the included periods, apart from 1992–1993, but the Canadian index did not Granger-cause the Mexican index at all. Moreover the Mexican index was a Granger-cause of the Canadian index in years 1994–2013 and a Granger-cause of the American index during period 1992–1993.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS FOR PRECIOUS METALS RETURNS
Autorzy:
Krawiec, Monika
Górska, Anna
Tematy:
precious metals
stationarity
Granger causality
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Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Katedra Ekonometrii i Statystyki
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/453610.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The aim of the paper was examining Granger causality between rates of return of precious metals. The study covers the period from 2008 through 2013 and includes gold, silver, platinum, and palladium. After developing statistical analysis and confirming stationarity of time series under consideration, the Granger causality test was run. Its results revealed a bilateral causation between silver and platinum rates of return. The study also detected causal relationships flowing from gold and palladium rates of return to silver returns.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Causality analysis between stock market indices
Autorzy:
Sekuła, Paweł
Tematy:
stock market
cointegration
Granger causality
financial crisis
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Wydawca:
Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/947589.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The paper examines relationships between selected stock market indices in Western Europe, Central Europe, and the United States. The study focuses on two periods, from January 1998 to August 2006 and from September 2006 to December 2016. The first one includes stock quotes from before the financial crisis while the second one covers the crisis and changes in the economic situation in post-crisis years. Relationships between stock market indices in developed economies were more frequent and durable than in Central Europe, although they were subject to changes. In our investigation into Granger causality relationships we observed changes in these relationships and in their direction for stock markets in Central Europe, while bidirectional relationships between indices in developed economies remained stable over time. Changes in relationships between indices, in particular long- -term interdependences, may result from the impact of the 2008 financial crisis. The increased number of causality relationships for the markets in Central Europe may testify to the advancing integration of the EU common market.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Egzogeniczność mierników szoków technologicznych na przykładzie Polski w latach 2005-2009
Exogenous Measures of Technology Shocks as Used in Poland in 2005-2009
Autorzy:
Truskolaski, Szymon
Tematy:
productivity
Solow residual
Granger causality test
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Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie. Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/575419.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The paper describes methods for measuring technology shocks and compares various indirect measures of technology shocks, including the so-called Solow residual and its modifications. Apart from the conventional Solow residual, the author uses modified indicators to illustrate changes in factors of production; he approximates productivity by analyzing electricity consumption (capital) and the number of hours worked and work accidents (labor). The main criterion used by the author to check if a technology shock measure is correct is its autonomy (exogeneity) from non-technology shocks that may occur in the economy, such as monetary shocks, fiscal shocks or external shocks. Truskolaski uses the Granger causality test to determine if each version of the residual is independent from non-technology shock variables. The test was conducted for 12 industries making up Poland’s manufacturing sector in 2005-2009. The conventional residual is independent from non-technology shocks in low-tech sectors, Truskolaski says. In high- and medium-high-tech sectors, on the other hand, corrections linked with the variable use of factors of production are far more important, according to the author. In terms of independence from non-technology shocks, the best measure is a residual used to estimate changes in both factors of production, capital and labor, Truskolaski concludes.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An empirical analysis of Malaysian palm oil export to world main palm oil importing countries : evidence from a panel cointegration model
Autorzy:
Hassan, Nur Ain Mohd
Zakaria, Kalsom
Salleh, Kamalrudin Mohamed
Ahmad, Siti Mashani
Tematy:
panel cointegration
FMOLS
palm oil export
Granger causality
Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:
Politechnika Wrocławska. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Wrocławskiej
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2204095.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The paper explores the long-term causal relationships of Malaysian palm oil exports with the real effective exchange rate of the respective importing countries, palm oil consumption, vegetable oil production, and GDP growth. The study applied panel cointegration and causality approaches based on data from 10 main palm oil importing countries between 2004 and 2018. The impacts of economic growth, the effective real exchange rate, and the production of other vegetable oils by the main palm oil importing countries on Malaysian palm oil exports were found to be negative. However, palm oil consumption by the main palm oil importers was found to be a statistically significant positive determinant of Malaysian palm oil exports. This finding indicates that consumption has a direct positive effect on the demand for exports. A panel Granger causality analysis revealed a unidirectional causality between importing countries’ production of other vegetable oils and Malaysian exports of palm oil.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An analysis of causal relationship between economic growth and financial development for Turkey: A MODWT-Granger causality test
Autorzy:
Abar, Hayri
Tematy:
economic growth
Granger causality
wavelet transform
financial development
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Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2131143.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
This study aims to investigate the relationship between financial development and economic growth in different time horizons for Turkey. In this study an ensemble of wavelet analysis and Granger causality test were used. PSC was used to represent financial development and GDP was used to represent growth. The annual data used are for the period 1961–2018. The result obtained for a one year period shows that the demand-following hypothesis is valid for Turkey. Financial development is the Granger cause of growth and positively affects growth. The financial sector should be supported for growth in the short term. While there is no causal relationship for the 2–4 year period, bidirectional causality relationships were determined for the periods of 4–8 years, 8–16 years and 16–32 years. Because variables are a Granger cause of each other and affect each other in a positive direction supporting the financial sector is a preferable policy when the purpose is to achieve growth in the long run.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Testing the Granger causality for commodity mutual funds in Poland and commodity prices
Autorzy:
Krawiec, Monika
Tematy:
commodity prices
commodity mutual funds
Granger causality
Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:
Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Katedra Ekonometrii i Statystyki
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/452937.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The recent increase in commodity price levels has resulted in the launch of a number of new commodity funds also in Poland. Since these funds do not have long quotation records, the study designed to answer the question whether changes in prices of commodities on world markets Granger-cause changes in quotations of participation units in specialized commodity funds in Poland, must have been limited to a 3-year-period. It includes 8 commodity funds, 11 commodities and 2 stock indices. Their log-returns constitute the base for calculating some descriptive statistics, testing for normality and stationarity. In order to achieve the goal of the research the Granger causality test is adopted. Its results exhibit Granger causality between commodity returns and majority of commodity fund returns, whereas in only few cases there is Granger causality running from stock indices returns to commodity funds returns.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Influence of selected factors on the volume of consumption (per capita) of Uruguay - in the sense of Granger causality
Autorzy:
Kraińska, Agata
Kraiński, Karol
Tematy:
Granger causality
Dickey Fuller test
Uruguay
consumption
Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:
Przedsiębiorstwo Wydawnictw Naukowych Darwin / Scientific Publishing House DARWIN
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1190066.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
The project will be tested State Uruguay. The country is characterized by political stability, economic attractiveness of tax-free zones for investors, and also has a good infrastructure, communication network, as well as one of the best education systems in their continent. The aim of the study is to verify whether the selected factors affect the volume of consumption (per unit) in Uruguay. Selected factors are investment (per capita), imports (per capita), exports (per capita), government spending (per capita) and the level of consumer prices. Individual data are annual data, and analysis period in the years 1950-2009. Audit of Granger causality indicates that the inclusion of the individual regression equations delayed variables can better explain and predict the evolution of the size of consumption in Uruguay.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The role of agriculture in poverty reduction in Nigeria: an empirical perspective
Autorzy:
Omotayo, Olayemi Henry
Ayomitunde, Aderemi Timothy
Omolola, Ojelade Lydia
Georgina, Adebayo Abiola
Tematy:
Agriculture
Poverty
DOLS
Granger Causality and Nigeria
Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:
Międzynarodowy Instytut Innowacji Nauka – Edukacja – Rozwój w Warszawie
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1375498.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
Abstract In Nigeria, several advocacies have been raised in different fora over time that agriculture is capable of reducing poverty in the country. An attempt to empirically validate the above argument has generated a policy mix in the literature. Therefore, further empirical investigation about this subject matter becomes imperative. Consequently, the study utilized the DOLS and Granger Causality Approach to address the objective of this study. However, the principal findings that emerged in this study are as follows: in the long run, there is a significant positive relationship between the employment in agriculture and poverty level, inflation rate and poverty level have a negative relationship with each other. Meanwhile, agricultural output causes a significant reduction in the poverty level. Also, one-way feedback relationship runs from agricultural output to the poverty level in the country. Based on the findings that originated in this study, this paper makes the following recommendations for the policymakers, future researchers and all the stakeholders in the agricultural sector in Nigeria that agricultural output has the capacity to reduce poverty level in the country. This implies that when poverty reduction is the target of the policymakers in the country, manipulating agricultural output will induce the reduction in poverty level in the long run. Also the government should possess political goodwill to revamp agricultural sector.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Destabilizing intervention in EU dairy markets
Autorzy:
Olipra, Jakub Mieczysław
Tematy:
CAP
intervention
butter
SMP
dairy
Granger causality
Pokaż więcej
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Przyrodniczy w Poznaniu. Wydawnictwo Uczelniane
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1902573.pdf  Link otwiera się w nowym oknie
Opis:
Butter and skimmed milk powder (SMP) are considered to be primary dairy commodities as they enable storage of fat and protein. The spread between butter and SMP prices in the European Union (EU) has been stable for many years. However, in 2016, butter prices suddenly increased to reach extremely high levels while SMP prices remained low. As a consequence, the price spread between milk fat and protein has surged, leading to severe imbalance in the EU dairy market. Some professionals argue that the main reason for this occurrence are large intervention stocks of SMP accumulated by the European Commission (EC) which weigh on prices. Nevertheless, no one has yet proved the existence of a causal relationship between the intervention stocks accumulated by the EC and the butter/SMP price spread. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to test that hypothesis. The causality between the EC intervention stocks and the butter/SMP price spread was tested using the Granger causality approach. The results show that the difference between butter and SMP intervention stocks accumulated by the EC Granger-causes the butter/SMP price spread while there is no causality in the opposite direction, which supports the hypothesis tested.
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł

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